CryptoPunk #8803 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Chinstrap, Cowboy Hat.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 69.1 ETH (about $157,160). 1σ range 46.9 to 102 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 150 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 69.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 46.9 to 102 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 150 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Chinstrap -5%, Cowboy Hat +96%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7115 2024-11-11: 28.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6066 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7711 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4064 2026-10-12: 31.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-11-22: 0.10 ETH (sale)
- 2020-01-03: 1.15 ETH (sale)
- 2020-06-22: 2.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-01-07: 6.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-02: 8.88 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-12: 12.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-28: 33.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-20: 200 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.