CryptoPunk #8946 valuation (beta)
Male, Rosy Cheeks, Bandana.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,734). 1σ range 29.1 to 34.2 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 37.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 34.2 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 37.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2362 2025-03-24: 42.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1481 2026-09-26: 35.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5581 2026-09-23: 40.5 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4746 2026-09-22: 88.9 ETH (82.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4457 2026-09-21: 29.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2290 2026-09-07: 29.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-20: 1.40 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-22: 1.92 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-01: 5.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 16.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-09: 21.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-30: 28.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.