CryptoPunk #8951 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Do-rag, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 44.5 ETH (about $101,269). 1σ range 37.3 to 53.2 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 63.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 88.9 ETH, 3.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 44.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.3 to 53.2 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 63.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Chinstrap -5%, Do-rag -6%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3667 2026-10-09: 33.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-10-08: 31.7 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-09-22: 33.3 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-09-21: 31.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3168 2026-09-21: 29.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3168 2026-08-28: 31.5 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3168 2026-06-05: 32.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5887 2026-06-05: 31.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-04-13: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-17: 17.3 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-14: 32.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-16: 32.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-11-13: 137 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-06-26: 91.8 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-30: 95.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.