CryptoPunk #8998 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Purple Hair, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.7 ETH (about $81,230). 1σ range 32.5 to 39.2 ETH, 2σ range 29.6 to 43.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 69.0 ETH, 7.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.5 to 39.2 ETH, 2σ range 29.6 to 43.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4748 2025-09-05: 51.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2672 2025-03-24: 43.7 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2672 2025-03-23: 40.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6066 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7711 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-06-08: 0.10 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-07: 7.50 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-12-28: 7.49 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-20: 69.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-01-20: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-21: 81.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-10-15: 57.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-12-08: 45.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.