CryptoPunk #9016 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Chinstrap, Stringy Hair, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.8 ETH (about $98,851). 1σ range 35.3 to 47.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 54.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 38.9 ETH, 0.3σ below the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.3 to 47.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 54.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Smile +17%, Chinstrap -5%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3890 2024-11-25: 38.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3890 2024-11-19: 35.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4064 2026-10-12: 31.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4064 2026-09-24: 32.5 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9984 2026-09-21: 31.2 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (36.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6068 2026-05-23: 33.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6068 2026-05-17: 33.3 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-08-11: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-16: 64.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-03-12: 90.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-07-25: 25.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-10-23: 28.9 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-11-14: 33.3 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-27: 41.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-02-25: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-05-11: 33.5 ETH (sale)
- 2026-05-19: 35.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.