CryptoPunk #9168 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Muttonchops, Knitted Cap, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 44.1 ETH (about $100,247). 1σ range 36.9 to 52.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.9 to 63.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 43.0 ETH, 0.1σ below the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 44.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.9 to 52.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.9 to 63.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Smile +17%, Muttonchops -9%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3359 2026-07-04: 33.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9516 2025-10-01: 46.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9516 2025-09-29: 46.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6117 2025-08-08: 53.5 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5233 2025-07-30: 75.0 ETH (41.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9516 2025-07-21: 49.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5229 2025-07-16: 47.7 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-02: 35.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-27: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 87.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.