CryptoPunk #9407 valuation (beta)
Male, Knitted Cap, Cigarette, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.4 ETH (about $78,199). 1σ range 31.6 to 37.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 40.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.6 to 37.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 40.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-07-03: 32.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-04-17: 27.7 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-04-08: 28.3 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5233 2025-07-30: 75.0 ETH (41.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3350 2025-07-20: 48.7 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3095 2025-06-23: 45.0 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1235 2025-05-19: 47.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-03-27: 0.35 ETH (sale)
- 2019-03-28: 0.40 ETH (sale)
- 2019-05-06: 0.45 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-16: 9.60 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.