CryptoPunk #9453 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Cap, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.6 ETH (about $92,297). 1σ range 35.3 to 46.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 53.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.3 to 46.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 53.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-23: 33.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-17: 33.3 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2650 2026-04-24: 30.4 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-04-22: 30.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4790 2026-03-13: 36.9 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2650 2026-03-10: 31.8 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2650 2026-03-06: 30.5 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-01-18: 0.29 ETH (sale)
- 2019-12-30: 0.37 ETH (sale)
- 2019-12-31: 0.44 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-02: 75.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.