CryptoPunk #9494 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Shaved Head, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 43.3 ETH (about $104,979). 1σ range 36.7 to 51.1 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 60.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 65.0 ETH, 2.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 43.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.7 to 51.1 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 60.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Shaved Head -7%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4810 2026-10-03: 42.0 ETH (38.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1575 2026-07-02: 48.9 ETH (46.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4855 2026-04-21: 39.0 ETH (42.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6207 2026-04-16: 46.0 ETH (53.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2535 2025-12-11: 34.4 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6207 2025-11-12: 44.0 ETH (38.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4855 2025-10-11: 50.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1575 2024-12-03: 53.0 ETH (36.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-09: 9.40 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-28: 68.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-28: 100 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-05-13: 67.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-26: 66.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.