CryptoPunk #9538 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Earring, Fedora.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.2 ETH (about $84,563). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Handlebars -6%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1607 2026-09-17: 33.5 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-08-21: 37.0 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8992 2026-07-19: 30.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2026-07-06: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-07-04: 34.4 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1607 2026-07-04: 34.6 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-23: 22.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-23: 72.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-26: 99.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-25: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-11-28: 32.7 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.