CryptoPunk #965 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Purple Hair, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.3 ETH (about $78,087). 1σ range 31.5 to 37.4 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 40.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 69.0 ETH, 8.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.5 to 37.4 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 40.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7036 2026-06-05: 31.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4824 2026-03-24: 31.8 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4824 2026-02-05: 31.6 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4824 2026-02-05: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7917 2026-01-03: 31.1 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7158 2025-11-22: 31.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6138 2025-10-22: 42.0 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4234 2025-08-05: 60.0 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-15: 3.50 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-25: 5.50 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-04: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-04: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-17: 89.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-01-28: 46.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-02-03: 40.6 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-03-01: 40.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.