CryptoPunk #9815 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Mohawk Dark, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.9 ETH (about $65,732). 1σ range 26.2 to 31.9 ETH, 2σ range 23.8 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.2 to 31.9 ETH, 2σ range 23.8 to 35.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Muttonchops -9%, Mohawk Dark -8%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8062 2026-06-30: 31.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8408 2025-12-22: 39.0 ETH (43.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2959 2025-09-03: 44.0 ETH (27.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #812 2025-08-04: 54.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #812 2025-07-23: 49.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2959 2025-07-18: 52.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8062 2025-06-30: 39.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2959 2025-05-13: 45.9 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-22: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-03: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-03: 23.3 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-29: 16.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-09: 77.8 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-12: 59.0 ETH (accepted bid, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.