CryptoPunk #9862 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Earring, Mohawk Thin.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,416). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Earring -2%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9024 2026-03-28: 30.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-07-04: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4336 2026-05-28: 78.0 ETH (73.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-04-21: 30.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6883 2026-02-01: 30.7 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-08-15: 0.12 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-18: 20.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 23.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-02: 34.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-11: 48.3 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-08: 95.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-03-06: 57.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.