CryptoPunk #9863 valuation (beta)
Male, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.9 ETH (about $94,342). 1σ range 31.0 to 48.9 ETH, 2σ range 24.7 to 61.5 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.0 to 48.9 ETH, 2σ range 24.7 to 61.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 1 attribute (vs 3) +15%.
- In the backtest, Male 0-1 sales landed within ±7.8% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±27.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (51.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7858 2026-09-24: 50.0 ETH (45.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1020 2026-09-07: 39.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9060 2026-09-07: 28.6 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-30: 0.20 ETH (sale)
- 2018-01-18: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-29: 33.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-15: 44.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-21: 69.7 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-31: 94.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-18: 59.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-06-19: 74.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-07-27: 29.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.