CryptoPunk #9907 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Tiara, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 52.5 ETH (about $119,286). 1σ range 39.9 to 68.9 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 90.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 128 ETH, 3.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 52.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 39.9 to 68.9 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 90.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Tiara +71%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6753 2026-05-14: 60.0 ETH (60.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3490 2026-01-19: 42.0 ETH (43.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6753 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3490 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8201 2026-01-16: 29.2 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8201 2026-01-03: 26.8 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8201 2026-01-01: 25.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5898 2025-09-03: 100 ETH (62.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-17: 1.25 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2017-07-20: 1.75 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2018-01-17: 0.90 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-20: 120 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.