CryptoPunk #9947 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Earring, Knitted Cap, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 42.3 ETH (about $96,151). 1σ range 36.0 to 49.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.7 to 58.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 176 ETH, 8.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 42.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.0 to 49.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.7 to 58.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Goat -7%, Earring -2%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-10-02: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-09-21: 29.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8332 2026-08-21: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-28: 2.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-11-26: 5.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-27: 5.50 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-11: 8.88 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-14: 10.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-23: 20.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-06-29: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-03: 120 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.